TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed No44c33,303$14,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,5832100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef2…e986backed No45c28,526$12,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,660.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7d…1033backed Yes55c28,526$15,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,660.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes56c20,077$11,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,196.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb54b…e482backed Yes55c18,987$10,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,359.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6028…10eebacked Yes43c17,047$7,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,367.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes13c14,581$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.51535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed No65c11,420$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.21825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No65c10,379$6,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes29c9,702$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No48c7,506$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90317835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes56c6,500$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6277851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes55c6,109$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes14c5,330$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.181540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No67c5,221$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes55c5,211$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes55c4,353$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes56c4,285$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No48c3,852$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.9314042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0877…0eecbacked Yes14c3,574$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4343…3be2backed Yes56c3,561$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes42c3,312$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes36c3,308$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No41c3,152$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.555947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed No45c3,016$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65f5…e83cbacked Yes56c2,951$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes21c2,607$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-77.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…44b0backed Yes58c2,593$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes38c2,518$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.522334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes33c2,387$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes27c2,312$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.05825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes58c2,277$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes13c2,011$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.97850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes53c1,980$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3779…0f80backed No78c1,882$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes57c1,820$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes56c1,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes21c1,764$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.812339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes26c1,715$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4176…7d36backed Yes18c1,676$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes46c1,597$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.042171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes54c1,569$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8491741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f0…0425backed Yes60c1,546$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No46c1,405$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.86933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes23c1,329$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa584…6187backed Yes50c1,300$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes55c1,265$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5506…d9efbacked Yes25c1,224$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes21c1,161$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes59c1,156$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed No43c1,140$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes47c1,139$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+53.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes56c1,133$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…26ecbacked Yes56c1,124$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde83…8b00backed No45c1,082$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No46c1,073$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes21c1,062$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes19c1,040$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x285b…114dbacked Yes49c1,030$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed No46c1,000$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+182.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No44c999.99$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No45c990.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.133432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No71c959.47$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.678045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e6…a667backed Yes76c934.25$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes53c919$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.821711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed Yes58c907.7$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed No45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…b9f5backed Yes18c897.53$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes58c895.31$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x476a…2a22backed Yes54c878.82$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fa…3fa6backed No46c875.41$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes13c834.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51de…c4d1backed No63c807.42$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes12c805.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No58c803.16$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed Yes56c799.95$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes19c796.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.261711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6f…fe11backed Yes55c792.27$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Yes59c790.32$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes49c788.94$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No46c776.97$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8b…62aabacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6834…2bd2backed Yes55c765.71$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked Yes13c761.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65ed…4353backed Yes55c728.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a7…4643backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…901cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes6c708$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…2ae8backed No66c700.43$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No48c685.38$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.086100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec9e…9e1abacked Yes16c684.44$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…dd71backed Yes15c677.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675e…11a8backed Yes30c667.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x872e…81f8backed Yes55c655.72$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No73c654.21$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.43837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes54c648.78$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…9470backed No44c623$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.