TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,900,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,003,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,900,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c99,651$100 inLost-$99.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c30,022$203 inLost-$203.24535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c15,159$106 inLost-$106.11616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c13,524$47 inLost-$46.93110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…5764backed Yes1c6,100$43 inLost-$42.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Yes2c5,566$138 inLost-$138.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb0…6367backed Yes1c2,262$25 inLost-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c2,000$22 inLost-$22130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes3c1,522$40 inLost-$39.68156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa30d…3e14backed Yes1c1,500$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8003…917cbacked Yes1c1,375$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aec…914dbacked Yes1c1,375$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f45…40a1backed Yes1c1,313$11 inLost-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfde…e84fbacked Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…1806backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0b…7806backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes1c1,182$11 inLost-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.