Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e3fc8b404b703791ea8eafb7819f774cd981a0442a1527f3d6d478f2e2465f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 5,685$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…0eecbacked Yes | 4c | 5,657$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 4c | 3,830$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 4c | 3,777$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 5c | 3,393$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…518abacked Yes | 5c | 3,392$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…c4b2backed Yes | 4c | 2,283$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…4d2bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,079$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed Yes | 4c | 1,934$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 1,576$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…7673backed Yes | 9c | 1,384$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 1,364$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,127$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 940.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…9fa9backed Yes | 5c | 873.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…be0bbacked Yes | 5c | 735.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…7938backed Yes | 4c | 702.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 3c | 643.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Yes | 5c | 596.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 3c | 558.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…aa80backed Yes | 5c | 546$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…227cbacked Yes | 6c | 538.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…13b6backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…cbc2backed Yes | 4c | 488.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes | 3c | 467.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 447.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0421…da07backed Yes | 18c | 444.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…0a8bbacked Yes | 5c | 439.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bf…606ebacked Yes | 5c | 417.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Yes | 6c | 400.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 4c | 374.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 368.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a725backed Yes | 5c | 330$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d58abacked Yes | 5c | 324$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…6e12backed Yes | 5c | 324$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes | 4c | 313.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…f792backed Yes | 5c | 288.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 4c | 263.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e4…79adbacked Yes | 4c | 250.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…64a7backed Yes | 5c | 228.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…0e3ebacked Yes | 5c | 228$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 227.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…6bfebacked Yes | 5c | 222$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…6f1ebacked Yes | 5c | 216$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahce win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nice win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.