Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6798ad2863ce49e34e409bd5edaf0f4b34d591988f601bd3653d0a1797f5999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 8,161$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.75 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 8c | 7,334$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,726$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 6c | 1,773$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 5c | 1,759$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,213$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,068$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 901.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 7c | 800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 8c | 730$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 9c | 630$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 535.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…8a3bbacked Yes | 6c | 439.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 6c | 405$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 402.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 6c | 352.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 8c | 280$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 7c | 254.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 8c | 253.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…8672backed Yes | 8c | 253.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 241.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 9c | 174.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…1e2fbacked Yes | 35c | 152.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…c69cbacked Yes | 7c | 144.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 11c | 113.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…5a47backed Yes | 40c | 62.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahce win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nice win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.