TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes19c17,242$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.78825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c10,024$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.441618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes1c10,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes21c8,595$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes1c5,362$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.931711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes11c5,017$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.17535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes14c3,869$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.811711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes10c3,024$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…7f5bbacked Yes3c2,751$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes15c1,979$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No78c1,941$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes2c1,782$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes25c1,574$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.441723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5917…7c54backed Yes17c1,464$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c1,332$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…9f2dbacked Yes2c1,238$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes9c1,222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes15c1,164$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.963941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes2c1,024$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes10c1,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked No74c954.64$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-77.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f2…fb71backed Yes2c954$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes10c908.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.742334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed Yes20c853.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.65616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes3c841.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457e…f8a4backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…fd87backed Yes10c805.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes10c791.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes2c716.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9115…5665backed Yes2c714$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb431…0c91backed Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes2c678.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.748239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes12c588.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6820655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes8c586.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.23130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a26…cdc1backed Yes2c568.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27e…47ebbacked Yes9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes20c510.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.58633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5b…d055backed Yes31c493.73$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes14c484.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes12c474.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…87acbacked Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1936…8ae0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7039…812dbacked Yes13c453.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes12c419$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No79c412.62$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.49837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f00…7addbacked Yes14c398.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.73520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c393.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7417835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3d…e978backed Yes31c376.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15629.7%6 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…901cbacked Yes27c373.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes14c348.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes14c341.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.63911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fff…c9dabacked No77c340.79$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…a33abacked Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…a19bbacked Yes15c330.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e55…2b2abacked No76c328$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b4…d144backed Yes15c308.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29b…9e76backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes12c295.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed Yes11c272.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.299561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x369b…5129backed Yes13c271.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c3…6ddcbacked Yes10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a4…4a25backed Yes9c258.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7683…d93fbacked Yes15c256.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes16c246.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5e…4b04backed Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes11c228.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes30c214.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f1…c78bbacked Yes14c200.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+121.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+53.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e96…f109backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd7…ea59backed Yes14c191.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes12c183.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…0b50backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b34…5055backed Yes15c170.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Yes15c165.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No74c158.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-83.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa407…ef9bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2b…7aafbacked Yes15c154.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf981…ef35backed Yes15c154.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be2…c5efbacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes31c149.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…e92ebacked Yes15c149.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7895…a111backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663f…bb92backed No71c141.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…3816backed Yes14c139.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9193…7946backed Yes15c134.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes13c134.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes15c133.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5560…e877backed Yes11c133.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be2…4c5bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe121…1d13backed Yes9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed Yes10c112.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes13c108$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccae…2568backed Yes16c101.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.