TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$893,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c9,981$284 inLost-$283.68535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6113…9ea3backed Yes1c6,987$66 inLost-$65.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes4c5,170$198 inLost-$198.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes3c4,162$125 inLost-$124.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes5c3,452$185 inLost-$185.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5d…d7d3backed Yes0c2,593$12 inLost-$11.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes3c1,378$38 inLost-$38.02156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c669.61$17 inLost-$16.72130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c600$10 inLost-$10.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a97…26b9backed Yes4c540.54$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce3…f929backed Yes4c486.49$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes3c400$11 inLost-$10.870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes3c371.71$12 inLost-$11.891030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes4c331.39$12 inLost-$11.91812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.