Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e19b295488d5d608ce838384bfa252aa987327a92c02219eb420baf7e1afa47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 39,965$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.22 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…700ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,510$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,283$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 1c | 5,178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,776$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f3…37f0backed Yes | 2c | 3,131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 1c | 3,082$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0449…6537backed Yes | 1c | 3,049$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0de…446bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,941$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,612$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6e70backed Yes | 1c | 2,525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…e012backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 1c | 2,395$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 2c | 2,347$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…5ef3backed Yes | 1c | 2,341$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901a…cc0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,341$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…207dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,336$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,318$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…63e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,299$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…190dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,074$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…21a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…0ce4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…5415backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…97fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…34acbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…b5f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,984$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…28cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,868$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…da06backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…9d48backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…e61ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,798$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,774$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…7ed4backed Yes | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…278ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…4210backed Yes | 1c | 1,609$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,536$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee6…fc95backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…c10fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,386$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…f18dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…07cbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,367$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…bb42backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…2657backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…672abacked Yes | 1c | 1,007$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…fcd1backed Yes | 1c | 974.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 2c | 901.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 2c | 781.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 753.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 3c | 634.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…4b04backed Yes | 3c | 434.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahce win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Hoffenheim win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nice win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.