TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,509 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb304…3ea2backed Yes6c15,920$1,032 inLost-$1,032.220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes5c6,691$351 inLost-$351.04535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaeb…fa30backed Yes9c2,537$233 inLost-$233.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes5c2,160$107 inLost-$106.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes2c1,399$21 inLost-$21.4812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes6c1,163$68 inLost-$68.47130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2769…62b8backed Yes7c992.08$69 inLost-$69.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes12c877.03$102 inLost-$101.6270%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes7c870.5$58 inLost-$58.15825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes5c856.82$45 inLost-$44.63812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes4c660.17$29 inLost-$28.61837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes4c613.37$27 inLost-$26.82812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes5c560.72$30 inLost-$30.2413554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes5c513.98$28 inLost-$28.25137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c512.68$25 inLost-$25.3717835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes4c465$18 inLost-$18.3960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes5c342.03$16 inLost-$16.45156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6b…b03abacked Yes6c336.46$21 inLost-$20.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes8c300$24 inLost-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f7…08aebacked Yes5c294.54$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes4c285.71$12 inLost-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed Yes9c282.01$26 inLost-$25.799561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfca7…83e3backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes5c225$11 inLost-$10.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6613…144abacked Yes7c220.91$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes5c203.85$11 inLost-$10.761030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4f…8f5cbacked Yes8c137.25$11 inLost-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ce…420cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafa…3947backed Yes11c100$11 inLost-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753b…1b94backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.