AI · resolved market

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $773,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $565,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,958 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	3c	30,731$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.6	629	1.3%8 W · 621 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-88.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	0c	25,531$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	292	0.3%1 W · 291 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ee…df72backed Yes	3c	23,997$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.38	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…ba88backed Yes	5c	22,498$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.76	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	27c	21,915$5,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,867.57	110	30.9%34 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbb…42d6backed Yes	19c	20,000$3,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,787.54	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	+154.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3498…5088backed Yes	3c	18,316$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.38	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d4…52f0backed Yes	39c	18,135$7,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,110.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes	4c	16,341$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.99	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f62…950ebacked Yes	30c	13,280$3,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,957.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7e…c200backed Yes	19c	11,540$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.82	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	6c	11,135$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.77	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-69%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4569…c0d3backed Yes	28c	10,796$2,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,984.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	+47%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	10,756$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.74	156	15.4%24 W · 132 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Yes	27c	10,587$2,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,896.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	9,789$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.33	256	0.8%2 W · 254 L	-8.9wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-97.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked Yes	12c	9,308$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.08	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No	68c	9,185$6,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,963.05	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.2wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x51dc…d9e0backed Yes	6c	8,725$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db1…7ed3backed No	71c	7,986$5,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,334.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e6…24a1backed Yes	13c	7,625$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.82	109	33.9%37 W · 72 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x513b…9addbacked Yes	1c	7,000$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.62	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec40…fce5backed No	76c	6,717$5,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.41	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf024…8393backed Yes	0c	6,578$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes	12c	6,464$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.82	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	6c	6,266$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.42	211	0.9%2 W · 209 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	7cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes	21c	6,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…fb3bbacked Yes	18c	5,599$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…5200backed Yes	5c	5,242$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.12	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf935…51abbacked Yes	28c	5,015$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	29c	4,905$1,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,427.13	257	31.5%81 W · 176 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e21…1751backed Yes	29c	4,508$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed4…561ebacked Yes	7c	4,473$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf817…d678backed Yes	10c	4,393$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.83	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75f…edafbacked Yes	18c	3,656$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.67	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbee…e8b5backed Yes	15c	3,640$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+254.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	6c	3,617$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.74	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-79%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c51…6f6cbacked Yes	10c	3,538$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x35b5…6950backed Yes	24c	3,433$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,404$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.16	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	12c	3,355$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.4	574	26.8%154 W · 420 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2047…f9fbbacked Yes	4c	3,235$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe433…e0f7backed Yes	35c	2,914$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	75c	2,804$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.29	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	63cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee75…88dabacked Yes	28c	2,626$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.79	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	6c	2,600$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.3	105	1.9%2 W · 103 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	2c	2,596$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed No	67c	2,447$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ad…ea4dbacked Yes	4c	2,444$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…78efbacked Yes	3c	2,443$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes	14c	2,440$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.62	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf8c5…4109backed Yes	38c	2,358$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048a…eb07backed Yes	17c	2,265$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.96	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f2…c208backed No	66c	2,114$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.81	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1581…6cadbacked Yes	10c	2,054$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.62	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+168.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3899…452ebacked Yes	22c	2,027$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.51	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8528…d446backed Yes	5c	2,003$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c35…1788backed Yes	8c	2,000$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…45a2backed Yes	20c	1,973$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e70…1ebdbacked No	70c	1,962$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c4…5335backed Yes	10c	1,942$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+998.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe150…27b3backed Yes	29c	1,937$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7396…d489backed Yes	5c	1,913$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.26	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5677backed Yes	27c	1,896$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x195b…57e8backed Yes	4c	1,893$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed Yes	17c	1,890$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.2	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc39e…97d9backed Yes	5c	1,880$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…a173backed Yes	2c	1,804$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes	19c	1,735$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.79	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf890…a010backed Yes	16c	1,694$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.68	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed Yes	17c	1,694$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.13	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2552…73d2backed Yes	23c	1,665$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.06	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571b…4f25backed Yes	3c	1,639$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes	4c	1,600$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…9ebabacked Yes	9c	1,578$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes	26c	1,541$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.74	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	2c	1,535$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd29…a638backed Yes	27c	1,509$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b50…c17bbacked Yes	27c	1,509$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes	12c	1,500$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+718.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes	35c	1,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+203%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb7…c34cbacked Yes	16c	1,450$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	6c	1,428$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.7	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	+13.1wins	+0.14per pick	21cpaid	+167%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x735d…78cfbacked Yes	3c	1,385$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.07	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	22c	1,271$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.73	60	11.7%7 W · 53 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes	25c	1,270$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a6…7792backed Yes	3c	1,264$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ed…9f94backed Yes	25c	1,138$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.57	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	31c	1,130$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	31c	1,100$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.5	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6c…c302backed Yes	23c	1,091$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…cf55backed Yes	6c	1,069$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes	29c	1,058$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.06	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+91.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No	72c	1,055$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes	5c	1,022$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51a4…0e62backed Yes	10c	1,018$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…eb32backed Yes	11c	1,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+372.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54fc…a48cbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…9a34backed Yes	29c	975$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.68	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	35cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?this page
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes won
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event