AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9179d7a449f793cfd23ab12d3913f012877d05dfc1d57901cb4d8cb5bb97d7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $463,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20db…63ccbacked No | 69c | 54,821$37,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,994.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…2fe3backed Yes | 31c | 54,821$16,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,994.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 19,586$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.92 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a15…6bd4backed Yes | 8c | 13,344$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 15c | 12,887$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 19c | 12,495$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 2c | 12,010$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 1c | 11,499$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,454$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 10,399$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 4c | 9,998$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 5c | 9,201$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,855$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 69c | 7,630$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…57e8backed Yes | 1c | 7,390$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 31c | 7,206$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,710$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…0b94backed Yes | 2c | 5,598$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,210$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,860$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 4,223$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 38c | 3,868$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 3,578$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 37c | 3,508$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,412$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 3,400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 8c | 3,292$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 13c | 3,095$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 32c | 2,861$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 67c | 2,860$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,676$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…ce04backed Yes | 11c | 2,631$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,618$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 37c | 2,528$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.24 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 33c | 2,500$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 2,390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 2c | 2,145$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 29c | 2,057$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.15 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…dccebacked Yes | 2c | 2,051$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,048$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,787$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…c47bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,769$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed No | 65c | 1,768$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…8393backed Yes | 2c | 1,735$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Yes | 2c | 1,694$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,649$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed Yes | 1c | 1,637$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,584$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…01bcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,567$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…3ef7backed Yes | 8c | 1,566$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…c398backed No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 6c | 1,538$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 5c | 1,527$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 7c | 1,525$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed Yes | 44c | 1,522$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 12c | 1,419$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Yes | 35c | 1,311$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed Yes | 13c | 1,225$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 30c | 1,216$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 26c | 1,147$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…1ebdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,106$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…b623backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,077$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,043$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…2306backed Yes | 3c | 1,042$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,039$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…88dabacked Yes | 30c | 1,032$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,003$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 33c | 964.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Yes | 36c | 957.75$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 37c | 952.62$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…e347backed Yes | 18c | 948.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 8c | 935.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 22c | 904$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…a840backed Yes | 1c | 850.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 79c | 849.23$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 40c | 837.18$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…e95ebacked Yes | 30c | 819.83$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…5d1ebacked Yes | 12c | 809.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -82%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…0f44backed Yes | 2c | 807.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 14c | 802.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 69c | 799.19$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 14c | 779.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 752.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 27c | 730.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…775fbacked Yes | 21c | 720$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…5976backed Yes | 4c | 682.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 38c | 676.39$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 13c | 666$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…9957backed Yes | 3c | 661.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 32c | 651.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…d2e8backed Yes | 11c | 617.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 28c | 609.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 31c | 602.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…69ffbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.