AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 31,453$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 20,063$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 17,581$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 4c | 15,843$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…8393backed Yes | 0c | 9,151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…4109backed Yes | 5c | 7,656$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 5c | 7,368$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 8c | 7,288$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.88 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 6,370$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 5,445$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…5862backed Yes | 3c | 5,353$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 2c | 5,341$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,032$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,995$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…3800backed Yes | 3c | 4,255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 4,078$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 6c | 3,787$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24d…6a5fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 0c | 3,643$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…bde3backed Yes | 3c | 3,401$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…8019backed Yes | 3c | 3,309$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 7c | 3,284$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 3c | 3,234$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,104$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 4c | 3,099$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…b02dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,988$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 6c | 2,831$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,746$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…d691backed Yes | 4c | 2,627$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…5058backed Yes | 5c | 2,526$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 5c | 2,521$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 6c | 2,501$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +233%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…1d9ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d25…b175backed Yes | 3c | 2,373$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…8974backed Yes | 5c | 2,113$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,980$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 7c | 1,960$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…1ecabacked Yes | 2c | 1,934$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2ab4backed Yes | 19c | 1,727$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…007fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,702$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,521$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…d489backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…be94backed Yes | 5c | 1,417$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…06c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 7c | 1,374$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…b6bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,324$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f75…ee02backed Yes | 5c | 1,310$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,305$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 6c | 1,296$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 6c | 1,261$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…29c3backed Yes | 13c | 1,199$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,029$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 879.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 861.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…6cadbacked Yes | 8c | 831.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…3024backed Yes | 6c | 708.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 7c | 699.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…7690backed Yes | 7c | 698.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Yes | 4c | 696.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…6a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 679.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 6c | 668.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 643.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f781backed Yes | 3c | 628.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 6c | 619$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 5c | 614.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 6c | 610$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 3c | 575.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +310.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 6c | 556.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…a93fbacked Yes | 4c | 544.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…98c5backed Yes | 7c | 526.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…096fbacked Yes | 6c | 522$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…9ed5backed Yes | 19c | 518.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c87…c027backed Yes | 6c | 510$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 493.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…0616backed Yes | 20c | 468.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…bbcfbacked Yes | 3c | 461.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 4c | 440.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…7714backed Yes | 4c | 437.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 5c | 425.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…8e81backed Yes | 7c | 419.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…cf59backed Yes | 3c | 388$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…ec3dbacked Yes | 3c | 361.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 14c | 336.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 7c | 329.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…7fd4backed Yes | 17c | 320.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 13c | 316.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…a602backed Yes | 6c | 315.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…12d5backed Yes | 12c | 291.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…ba12backed Yes | 14c | 281.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…f499backed Yes | 7c | 279.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…cc34backed Yes | 7c | 255$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1a…fa3abacked Yes | 8c | 248.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Yes | 8c | 237.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…9e85backed Yes | 5c | 224.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…1025backed Yes | 5c | 212.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.