Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fde9c914ca0774acc51730fb476a5c1213b8bf0755f42a2e7add5bcb52d4fcb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $329,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $243,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	16c	30,125$4,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,902.15	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	17c	27,164$4,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,623.33	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61a…8e82backed Yes	0c	15,378$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c0…564cbacked Yes	16c	14,982$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,467.17	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	2c	12,150$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.45	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	17c	11,686$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.19	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes	17c	9,018$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.26	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	27c	6,802$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.66	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4470…e93bbacked Yes	30c	5,275$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f4…dbfebacked Yes	23c	5,169$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.97	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe703…8d89backed Yes	18c	4,745$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	25c	4,707$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.67	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	4c	4,622$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	38c	4,589$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,751.62	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda23…080ebacked Yes	19c	4,566$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	18c	4,444$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.92	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	10c	3,733$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.44	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	14c	3,585$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.71	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked No	77c	3,467$2,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.42	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	11c	3,448$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.8	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes	30c	3,333$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.13	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes	40c	3,300$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.56	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	3,180$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.57	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b03…0298backed Yes	15c	2,934$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.31	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	1c	2,706$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	16c	2,090$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.31	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeeb…184ebacked Yes	23c	2,050$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	10c	1,549$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.64	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe433…e0f7backed Yes	47c	1,531$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.02	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	17c	1,530$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.18	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71be…488dbacked Yes	26c	1,510$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	17c	1,505$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.06	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes	35c	1,487$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.39	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc356…1c77backed Yes	1c	1,445$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	16c	1,421$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.8	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No	77c	1,394$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.19	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	22c	1,308$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.98	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	14c	1,162$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.55	380	23.9%91 W · 289 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	17c	1,139$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.9	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes	33c	1,000$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	25c	1,000$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a3…04f4backed Yes	28c	950.57$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.63	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	16c	920.53$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.28	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f71…49f2backed No	80c	844$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2902…7102backed Yes	12c	819.23$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed No	75c	760.17$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.44	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed No	78c	746$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.26	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-60%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	17c	717.09$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.87	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…b172backed Yes	21c	710.72$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0894…cf93backed Yes	15c	708.78$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.23	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	35cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca6b…7be7backed Yes	3c	671.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes	24c	655.18$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.57	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	28c	614.33$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.49	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Yes	30c	588.5$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.44	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc2…7d0dbacked Yes	40c	544$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.42	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x77cd…06dfbacked Yes	17c	513.55$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…2ae8backed No	74c	496.77$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.17	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	26c	473.18$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.98	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	17c	468.07$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.87	179	21.2%38 W · 141 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes	29c	454.66$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.56	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…f4c0backed Yes	16c	453.04$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29fc…06b0backed Yes	10c	418.96$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Yes	16c	408.62$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.66	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	408$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	19c	399.75$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.12	247	36.8%91 W · 156 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…cbe6backed Yes	16c	384.03$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3235…cef8backed No	73c	352.88$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	22c	347.56$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.51	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa691…cb7ebacked Yes	25c	323.57$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	19c	305.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.22	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2747…ae48backed Yes	23c	298.45$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	13c	297$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.61	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc0…ab76backed Yes	30c	297$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed No	77c	286$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.85	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	11c	261.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes	39c	256.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	20c	253$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.83	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…c9e6backed Yes	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+138.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x951b…7e09backed Yes	45c	240.42$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	18c	238$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…86b5backed Yes	17c	231.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f79…7342backed Yes	17c	221.58$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…8db0backed Yes	26c	220.25$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Yes	22c	219.12$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.53	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d2c…193abacked Yes	23c	214.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	9c	211.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	200	34%68 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	9c	211.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes	10c	210.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	72	25%18 W · 54 L	+9.7wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+262.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe991…9969backed Yes	24c	210$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1757…4a8dbacked Yes	25c	202.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…56d6backed Yes	18c	199.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	26c	193$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.57	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed No	70c	184.67$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8264…845abacked Yes	45c	183.82$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.22	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes	23c	171$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…6e40backed Yes	33c	163.59$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes	13c	160$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0231…948ebacked Yes	17c	156.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…aa07backed Yes	30c	150$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes	12c	148.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?this page
Will the Liberals win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win less than 100 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win more than 210 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event