Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae7fbe499c9901db6212927ce48e0596f6ac6cb4d43e5aafa7ded9d0bd7025b

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes	25c	15,111$3,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816.6	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda23…080ebacked Yes	21c	5,278$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.2	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	16c	5,096$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.51	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	17c	4,708$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.45	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	16c	3,656$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.47	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b03…0298backed Yes	18c	3,362$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes	15c	3,300$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.98	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	24c	3,020$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.8	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe703…8d89backed Yes	18c	2,996$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.84	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b3…129bbacked Yes	41c	2,913$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes	26c	2,501$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.87	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeeb…184ebacked Yes	24c	1,983$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f4…dbfebacked Yes	25c	1,824$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.11	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No	76c	1,500$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	17c	1,273$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.94	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	20c	1,043$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.61	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	39c	1,026$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.64	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+29.2wins	+0.25per pick	26cpaid	+132.4%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	65c	990$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.5	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes	33c	985.27$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked No	52c	817.16$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.48	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2db1…4351backed Yes	16c	779.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.6	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	18c	720.78$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.96	380	23.9%91 W · 289 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Yes	19c	614.59$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.06	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	19c	604.14$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.06	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes	25c	597.36$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.49	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a4e…0bdabacked Yes	18c	549.27$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes	19c	441.59$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	421.59$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.3	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	16c	398.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.23	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	25c	392.15$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	179	21.2%38 W · 141 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f71…49f2backed Yes	16c	358$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.01	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…ea56backed Yes	28c	354.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3272…8db0backed Yes	28c	351.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	25c	336.55$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.52	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	16c	327.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.9	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9f…2203backed Yes	25c	320$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	16c	319.39$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	232	25%58 W · 174 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	16c	319$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…6e40backed Yes	22c	317.82$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	22c	300$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes	18c	273.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	19c	264.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.29	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	24c	251.63$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.35	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…56d6backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77cd…06dfbacked Yes	30c	241.2$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	79c	240$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.56	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	19c	220$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	79c	216.4$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.58	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a3…04f4backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed No	70c	199.99$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	81	23.5%19 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes	25c	161.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No	76c	159.7$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.95	88	61.4%54 W · 34 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	24c	158.79$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.74	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No	75c	152.34$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.83	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fc…06b0backed Yes	17c	151.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0231…948ebacked Yes	20c	148.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81fa…41c9backed Yes	11c	139.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	35%7 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	14c	121.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…58d6backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	12c	110.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a8…5288backed Yes	18c	104.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes	39c	104.28$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	40	15%6 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+417.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa291…d88dbacked Yes	11c	97.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes	20c	85$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Yes	28c	77.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	21c	75.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	14c	71.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d5…3a9cbacked Yes	45c	70.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d4…01cabacked Yes	30c	65.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0c…3132backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	21c	62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e40…91e4backed Yes	24c	60.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed No	71c	59.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	200	34%68 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ef…d9f3backed No	76c	59.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No	78c	57$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.54	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a9…1afcbacked No	76c	53.14$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.27per pick	36cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-5.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7db…3dabbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…c19dbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1088…b813backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	136	39%53 W · 83 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…c526backed Yes	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No	63c	41$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b4…4996backed Yes	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No	63c	40.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	120	40%48 W · 72 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba90…99b9backed No	61c	30.74$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c9…3dcabacked No	77c	23.38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.38	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?this page
Will the Liberals win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win less than 100 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win more than 210 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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