Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20e87225b1d3abb2828297bb0b6fd3e3465b0fbe8da2b478fd712ef5991f2ab

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,769 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	24c	7,263$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.55	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	24c	5,562$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.98	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	25c	4,793$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.84	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	19c	3,861$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.35	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe703…8d89backed Yes	25c	3,517$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.03	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	26c	3,238$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.31	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes	21c	3,221$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.97	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked No	73c	3,125$2,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.9	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda23…080ebacked Yes	26c	3,116$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b3…129bbacked Yes	27c	2,994$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	7c	2,818$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b03…0298backed Yes	27c	2,786$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.35	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	12c	2,364$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.47	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	21c	1,414$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.93	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	1c	1,345$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	17c	1,129$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.11	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	19c	999.55$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.91	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Yes	27c	958.85$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.85	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	22c	926.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	21c	902.13$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.36	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	24c	900$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.32	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	24c	880$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.54	120	40%48 W · 72 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…56d6backed Yes	19c	875.4$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.87	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	23c	875$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.2	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	23c	802$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.82	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes	24c	800$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.81	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	25c	793.02$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4e…0bdabacked Yes	26c	787.9$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.76	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	19c	767.26$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	22c	700$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.3	200	34%68 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	9c	700$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	380	23.9%91 W · 289 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7364…d44ebacked No	75c	678.45$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.9	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes	29c	573.41$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	17c	567.41$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.43	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	22c	565.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.6	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No	75c	559.99$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.24	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7b76backed No	79c	543.68$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.03	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	71cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	15c	488.24$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.07	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	77c	464.32$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.61	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a8…5288backed Yes	22c	459.56$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…4351backed Yes	23c	446.03$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.59	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20a…d9a3backed No	75c	440$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.38	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	391.36$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.53	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7fd…ea56backed Yes	27c	373.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No	76c	350$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.2	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	78c	307.51$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.04	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	22c	301.84$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb78…73a8backed Yes	21c	256.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81fa…41c9backed Yes	6c	239.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	77c	235.83$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.94	314	43.9%138 W · 176 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes	28c	207$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed No	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	81	23.5%19 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a3…04f4backed No	72c	199.99$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed Yes	17c	197$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes	11c	194$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes	19c	171.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.27	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a6a…4846backed No	78c	171$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.09	16	93.8%15 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.20per pick	74cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed No	66c	162.94$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.89	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	79c	155.27$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0231…948ebacked Yes	28c	154.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	34c	151$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked No	69c	144.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.01	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2172…1bf1backed No	75c	133.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No	78c	128.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	17c	127$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…6e40backed Yes	27c	110.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Yes	27c	110$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8aa…c4b0backed Yes	19c	107.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	17c	103.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	17c	102.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae06…8acebacked No	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes	27c	95.29$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No	75c	93.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	179	21.2%38 W · 141 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	25c	79.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes	27c	74.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.27per pick	36cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8f6…58d6backed Yes	27c	74.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes	18c	74.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked No	76c	70.82$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2685…7336backed Yes	29c	69.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes	32c	62.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	35%7 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	73c	59.82$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes	20c	59.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09e2…29debacked No	74c	59$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	32c	50.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c00…0788backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.15	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ec…2d07backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9340…c2ffbacked Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1088…b813backed No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	136	39%53 W · 83 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17de…fb7abacked Yes	28c	49.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2898…2120backed Yes	27c	39.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	75c	39.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.74	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa162…090bbacked Yes	28c	38.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c64…ff90backed No	74c	28.69$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	58cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f30…fc15backed No	77c	25.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.84	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	35cpaid	+149.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb28…f6b5backed No	74c	25.62$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.63	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf9…72a4backed No	74c	24.25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510d…a729backed No	74c	23.56$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.1	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?this page
Will the Liberals win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win less than 100 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Will the Liberals win more than 210 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event