Movies · resolved market
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffca503462dd7b2dfd683a5ed103f14e9749d9584fbd1a1d507be4c47cc0f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96d4…9cd5backed No | 53c | 34,306$18,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,182.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…4666backed Yes | 47c | 34,306$16,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,182.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 6,945$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 44c | 6,113$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.07 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked No | 34c | 3,943$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed No | 19c | 3,374$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.5 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 45c | 2,867$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.4 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 2,452$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 39c | 2,005$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.44 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked No | 3c | 1,846$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…33e9backed No | 9c | 1,839$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed No | 17c | 1,501$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…63b9backed No | 4c | 1,418$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed No | 28c | 1,417$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 77c | 1,381$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…fb3fbacked No | 6c | 1,363$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 78c | 1,238$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.68 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 44c | 1,196$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 2c | 1,080$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…9508backed No | 12c | 1,050$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…147ebacked No | 2c | 1,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…3d6fbacked No | 9c | 910.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 22c | 892.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 53c | 869$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.87 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 6c | 700.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 24c | 666$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 3c | 641.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 61c | 637$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.62 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked No | 78c | 576.88$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 555.21$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed No | 6c | 512.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 494.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 48c | 472.41$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…0997backed No | 8c | 442.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…b168backed No | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 30c | 404$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…d46ebacked No | 5c | 389.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 21c | 388.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a3febacked No | 5c | 322.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 39c | 321$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 73c | 318.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 4c | 316.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 67c | 310.28$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 295.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…2494backed No | 69c | 289.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 53c | 259.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 8c | 249.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 67c | 238$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…caa1backed No | 9c | 234.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…3deabacked No | 75c | 227.51$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed No | 36c | 220.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 50c | 211.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…5e04backed No | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 74c | 193.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 41c | 185.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…c357backed No | 10c | 185.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 17c | 162.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 52c | 162.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 27c | 151.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…a488backed Yes | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3464backed Yes | 55c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked No | 27c | 139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…bdfbbacked Yes | 41c | 116.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed No | 47c | 105.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 95.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 51c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…ef0dbacked Yes | 39c | 90.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 34c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed No | 64c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 57.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…7be7backed Yes | 61c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 60c | 47.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 72c | 41.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed No | 56c | 37.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…1131backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Yes | 59c | 30.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…713cbacked Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?this page
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?No won
- Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.