NBA · resolved market
Team World vs. Team USA Stripes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b549a693fa423658c935e6a4b205fdba1eb511aeabd6d01fecd10403677b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team USA Stripesof Team World, Team USA Stripes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Team World | 61c | 41,982$25,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,482.67 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team USA Stripes | 39c | 32,548$12,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,891.27 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Team World | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,299.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 20,318$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,358.75 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Team World | 60c | 20,047$12,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.76 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 17,923$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,933.02 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Team World | 63c | 16,066$10,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,057.57 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Team World | 63c | 16,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.83 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Team USA Stripes | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team USA Stripes | 39c | 7,866$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.56 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team USA Stripes | 45c | 7,041$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.57 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Team World | 1c | 6,261$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Team USA Stripes | 64c | 5,000$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Team World | 54c | 5,000$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.91 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Team World | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Team World | 1c | 4,840$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…3f4ebacked Team World | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…2c81backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Team USA Stripes | 32c | 4,437$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.2 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 3,763$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.4 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Team World | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 3,282$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.3 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 3,228$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.84 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team USA Stripes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Team World | 60c | 2,601$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Team World | 59c | 2,516$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.48 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Team World | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Team World | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 2,456$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.17 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Team USA Stripes | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Team USA Stripes | 43c | 2,196$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Team World | 62c | 1,615$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Team USA Stripes | 13c | 1,345$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team World | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team USA Stripes | 32c | 1,270$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.8 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Team USA Stripes | 73c | 1,170$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 1,154$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Team World | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team USA Stripes | 37c | 1,140$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…f689backed Team World | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…924fbacked Team USA Stripes | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team USA Stripes | 49c | 1,026$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Team USA Stripes | 54c | 1,019$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 1,001$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Team World | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 338 | 60.9%206 W · 132 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Team World | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team USA Stripes | 42c | 999.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 990.68$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7064…1b74backed Team World | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Team USA Stripes | 33c | 899.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team USA Stripes | 41c | 894.4$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.7 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team World | 61c | 871.53$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.55 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Team World | 57c | 870.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Team USA Stripes | 58c | 833.04$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.84 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Team USA Stripes | 30c | 799.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Team USA Stripes | 37c | 763.59$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team World | 61c | 745.57$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.67 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team USA Stripes | 55c | 745.27$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.37 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Team World | 58c | 737.5$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team USA Stripes | 43c | 728.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.17 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team USA Stripes | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Team USA Stripes | 13c | 700$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…62cfbacked Team USA Stripes | 45c | 607.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Team USA Stripes | 39c | 597.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.63 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Team World | 54c | 509.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team World | 60c | 501.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Team USA Stripes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Team USA Stripes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 497.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Team World | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…2429backed Team USA Stripes | 37c | 467.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 440.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Team World | 59c | 415.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Team USA Stripes | 38c | 409.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Team USA Stripes | 41c | 403.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Team USA Stripes | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Team World | 61c | 390.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Team USA Stripes | 42c | 384.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked Team World | 60c | 371.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Team USA Stripes | 54c | 370.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Team USA Stripes | 5c | 365.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.96 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Team USA Stripes | 49c | 365.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Team World | 55c | 361.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…328bbacked Team USA Stripes | 44c | 356.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team World | 56c | 354.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team World | 54c | 353.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Team USA Stripes | 40c | 352.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Team USA Stripes | 41c | 350$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1e0fbacked Team USA Stripes | 65c | 334.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Team World | 59c | 333.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Team World | 57c | 330.49$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team USA Stripes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Team USA Stripes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team World vs. Team USA Stripesthis page
- Spread: Team World (-2.5)Team USA Stripes won
- Spread: WORLD (-1.5)STRIPES won
- WORLD vs. STRIPES: O/U 80.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.