Middle East · resolved market
Khamenei seen in public before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d330d982427f4fd237e5b5b55dca0114be1ecb975aa8f7384e9a75ef09e48b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 70c | 16,964$11,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 0c | 9,941$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 4c | 7,029$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.84 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 35c | 6,758$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.48 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…933cbacked No | 51c | 5,673$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 75c | 5,556$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 44c | 5,043$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.42 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 68c | 4,949$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…ea91backed No | 2c | 4,104$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…7db5backed No | 54c | 3,214$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 38c | 3,065$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.28 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 47c | 3,009$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.49 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 55c | 2,760$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…a79cbacked No | 2c | 2,622$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 44c | 2,478$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.29 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 3c | 2,312$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 33c | 2,306$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.1 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 66c | 2,291$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.34 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 46c | 2,261$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.93 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed Yes | 49c | 2,210$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.28 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 6c | 2,055$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 1,987$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 21c | 1,886$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 49c | 1,761$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 52c | 1,421$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.95 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 48c | 1,374$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8c86backed Yes | 35c | 1,275$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 1,258$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…96b9backed Yes | 50c | 1,210$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 53c | 1,174$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.49 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…d883backed No | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…1ab6backed No | 1c | 1,015$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…0970backed Yes | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 1,002$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.28 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…c485backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…c185backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 49c | 999.85$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.18 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked No | 48c | 831.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked No | 68c | 821.84$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 24c | 820.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.41 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed No | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d86fbacked No | 43c | 800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…2ad7backed Yes | 63c | 796.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 62c | 789.46$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed No | 55c | 777.31$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c80…a49dbacked Yes | 56c | 772.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 65c | 771.33$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 51c | 761.68$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 50c | 751.09$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 9c | 741.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked No | 53c | 738.84$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 61c | 724.76$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.86 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Yes | 43c | 720.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…70d5backed No | 66c | 713.28$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked No | 37c | 707.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 62c | 699.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…de5fbacked No | 4c | 689.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked No | 41c | 660.7$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 15c | 659.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 655.33$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…79ebbacked No | 62c | 653.02$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…e6ecbacked No | 45c | 641.73$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…9a00backed Yes | 42c | 624.85$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed No | 59c | 599.45$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…068cbacked No | 44c | 571.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…6ea3backed No | 36c | 559.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 43c | 557.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.31 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…69e9backed No | 35c | 554.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 545.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.06 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 60c | 540.12$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 78c | 539.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 16c | 533.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 54c | 504.82$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 68c | 503.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 47c | 503.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…8047backed No | 55c | 501.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…2992backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed No | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…fad4backed Yes | 41c | 487.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked No | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 65c | 470$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed No | 47c | 422.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c3a8backed No | 58c | 415.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 38c | 407.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 60c | 405$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…32f3backed No | 4c | 387.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 51c | 380.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked No | 63c | 379.37$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 378.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03ef…039bbacked No | 35c | 374.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 41c | 360.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 335.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…15dcbacked No | 63c | 319.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b5a0backed No | 15c | 318.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.