Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975f62de56ad6976e6d11feadda6bc6980b1bcefca5b1dc66e9e660e3ceac8e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, AS Monaco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked AS Monaco FC | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 4,204$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC | 65c | 1,762$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 1,132$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 1,100$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked AS Monaco FC | 66c | 842.78$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40c | 201.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed AS Monaco FC | 68c | 181.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 14c | 156$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 152.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 110.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 101.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 83.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 75.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AS Monaco FC | 59c | 61.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 40.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 35.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 37c | 32.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked AS Monaco FC | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.