Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf402503046d0f08a9eea67edf0ad6f60bb630fec8c60d6d7e9370b105c4882bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 5,079$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.75 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 3,315$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.04 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,481$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.49 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 53c | 671.7$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 432.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 13c | 300.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.18 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 187.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 153.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 11c | 146.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 14c | 144$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 57c | 140.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 59c | 134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 133.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 12c | 127.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 72.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 57c | 70.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…86a8backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 32c | 33.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 45c | 27.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Under | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Under | 57c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.