Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269d79704cc2e23cdbe7faa0835328c0eac79bf79e73a0448858d715ecb66b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 17,520$13,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 18c | 14,999$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 71c | 4,250$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 26c | 4,017$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.13 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 2,767$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 47c | 2,144$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 72c | 832.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 68c | 697$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 29c | 443.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 33c | 328.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 67c | 327.16$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…a36dbacked Under | 72c | 297.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Over | 70c | 190$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 70c | 97.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 70c | 96.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 30c | 82.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Over | 17c | 62.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 50.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 53c | 47.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 33c | 42.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 70c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…303bbacked Over | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.