Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a41e5e69b31c3a67a12329d0ac7880694eb29e8a04312896985ecae88763889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 17,628$13,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 12c | 9,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 6,831$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.45 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 6,768$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.97 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 19c | 4,838$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.36 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 53c | 2,823$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 2,715$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 52c | 2,642$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,176$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 887.98$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.68 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 13c | 303$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 299.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 228.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 23c | 173.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Under | 52c | 95.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 50c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed Under | 52c | 42.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 73c | 29.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.