Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2c907631e9e29b5f33ba39c3ff369cf6246aeedb85e07cfb954bbc71afb1b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 1,235$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.22 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 66c | 724.29$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.03 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 34c | 444$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 324.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Yes | 65c | 309.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 36c | 195$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 76.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 46.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…77b9backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.