TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c15,834$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,735.584,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1007719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over80c4,449$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.0513263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c2,589$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.682,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Over64c2,352$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over78c2,333$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.261776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Under23c2,201$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.941338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Under22c1,893$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over64c1,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over79c1,520$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.24465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c1,388$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.3623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over53c1,200$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.583966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23e…6577backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c970.93$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.813036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.236478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Under59c734$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c716.37$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.133,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c694.44$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3661657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over77c650$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.53762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over39c649.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over79c638$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9810245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c616.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9534252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under32c581.73$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over78c536.32$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.993754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c466.67$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8831745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.624946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd6…02f3backed Over74c374.73$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.033100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Over79c364.82$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c346.53$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.51,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c341.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over40c337.78$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.674452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over72c329$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.123551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.49330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over51c317$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3713249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under60c294$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under22c279.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Over77c270$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under19c261.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.729947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.414158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c216.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.011,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over79c191.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under62c186.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over50c181$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Under20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over64c164.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3919544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over55c154.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6515344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over77c150.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.582864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…ec0ebacked Over67c148.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305829.3%17 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f5…544fbacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332552%13 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2115646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.219262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5813668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Under42c125.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cc…5865backed Over79c124.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over51c112.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.443545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed5…472bbacked Under43c107.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dec…3579backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…f9febacked Under63c91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c1…a5adbacked Over70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over70c88.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.645742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under48c88.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over78c83.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under63c73.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f40…df2dbacked Over77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over42c65.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.875145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9416865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over79c63.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under23c63.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.529354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over58c62.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under66c56.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over55c55.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06d…fdf4backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…bb75backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.