TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c24,287$11,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,578.644,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over59c15,001$8,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,923.784942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over60c11,550$6,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,901.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over59c9,123$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c5,055$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.953,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c3,700$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.9369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c3,036$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.862,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.985735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over50c2,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c2,529$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.8164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over58c2,117$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.619748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over59c2,116$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.441631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under42c1,672$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c1,659$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3430446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under70c1,371$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.214057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over46c1,349$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.049330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c1,255$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69622859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over28c1,200$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.99156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over31c1,199$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over45c1,107$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4981323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over59c1,002$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0319344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under41c913$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.6710245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over60c860$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51613824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over27c806.4$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.733966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c800$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over59c713.46$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c698.8$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.471,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under41c687.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over16c649.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3485058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over48c544.5$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.362969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over19c529.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under40c513.34$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under40c489$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over57c483.6$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c357.14$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3234252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20316149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under41c350$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.52556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over60c329.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.11586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under42c327.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c317.61$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1764146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Under74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over36c278.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over27c251.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Over60c249.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under48c237.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Over59c221.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under70c217$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Under42c213.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Under72c205$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.995759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over57c198.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over45c179.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Under55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c03…d9bcbacked Under64c153.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under54c148.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Under68c147.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over54c147.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c144.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c143.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over36c139.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over54c139.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over43c137.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.813052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under41c130.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Under49c126.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.553638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Over36c119.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.49812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.053540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over39c115.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9611855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under63c114.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.982770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6fc…ea97backed Over60c113.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Under42c113.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b6…a62fbacked Over31c113.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over49c106.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.427060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Over39c105.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd7c…6d35backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc57c…21b1backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under43c99.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.815050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over57c90.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c90.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.98354.2%45 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Over61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under78c86.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over47c85.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c81.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over59c81.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over31c80.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.224461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.