Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbffdf1e3d18cb607a09507656158d1257f839e595db932250fbcc90dbec6eddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 112,147$54,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,213.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 29c | 50,000$14,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,490.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -80%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 61c | 33,368$20,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,304.13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 40c | 26,460$10,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,802.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 61c | 26,344$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 40c | 24,733$9,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,747.81 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 59c | 13,642$8,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,065.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 12,610$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.78 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 11,500$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 11,194$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,681.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 8,879$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.29 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 8,795$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.72 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 7,219$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.3 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 6,474$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.28 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 64c | 5,245$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 60c | 5,030$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 65c | 3,706$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 59c | 3,600$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 22c | 3,363$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 61c | 3,293$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 36c | 2,752$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 43c | 1,900$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,863$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 39c | 1,655$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.06 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 1,644$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.59 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 21c | 1,411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 61c | 1,120$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 39c | 1,087$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 45c | 1,070$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 64c | 1,005$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.05 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 59c | 997.59$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 59c | 983.15$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…9056backed Yes | 36c | 947.05$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 890.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.81 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 28c | 826.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 59c | 789$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 52c | 774.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 765.81$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 39c | 718$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 35c | 712.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.94 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 703.88$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 39c | 681.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 678.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 34c | 610$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 46c | 577.72$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bce…7dbebacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 60c | 570.6$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 561.07$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.76 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 60c | 543.03$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Yes | 59c | 527.9$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 527.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.08 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 60c | 522.92$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed Yes | 60c | 518.06$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 39c | 511.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.77 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 49c | 510.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 40c | 476.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 64c | 470.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 463.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 62c | 451.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 60c | 444.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 45c | 429.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…8f0dbacked Yes | 50c | 417.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 417.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 60c | 417$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 61c | 410.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 25c | 399.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 59c | 385.95$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 69c | 376.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 59c | 372.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 49c | 366.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 38c | 363.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 39c | 358.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 354.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…e881backed Yes | 59c | 349.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 60c | 333.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.