TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No57c6,500$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.9815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No60c5,702$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.279265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes45c4,500$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No56c4,300$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.3412269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes43c3,950$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.711533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c3,343$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.012425%6 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes38c3,330$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.65633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes43c3,256$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c2,997$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.8712247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No56c2,292$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.415151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No42c2,014$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.194658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c1,491$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.055054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7988456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes43c1,145$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.16850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes45c1,117$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.129345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No55c1,007$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.2812955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes45c1,000$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.978742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6106647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No54c967.13$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.299652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No17c800$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1368345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes44c799.92$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No57c787.61$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No38c705.82$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No55c520.51$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.283748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Yes42c479$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c378$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No58c374.14$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2172825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c370.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3620050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.914454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes41c315.35$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Yes42c306.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No57c299.97$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9810332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked Yes43c274.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes40c257.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.523158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfe…4341backed Yes44c238.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+188.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes43c225$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.251020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes45c223.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.323444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes43c222$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.548129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes46c217.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes43c201.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No10c198.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.852626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No56c187.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes44c184.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.092850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ca8…2882backed Yes44c171.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Yes43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes42c146.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.112040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No58c141.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.213464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.538543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes43c115.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes45c110.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+54%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a2…a3e0backed Yes37c104.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3be…1015backed Yes44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Yes43c100.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.918453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fae…9b32backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.414733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes44c81.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.552825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.093171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Yes44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes44c69.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff21…2b5ebacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes44c65.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.93560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes44c57.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.495532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No57c56.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.482733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…4befbacked Yes43c53.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes44c48.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.113545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed52…2e28backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.