Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nice win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fdc47a539832571ff8c7b9c089d57968641f78d57ea961fee330ad7938ba1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,558$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 1,459$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.66 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 1,273$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,088$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 78c | 487$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 7c | 479$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 392$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 30c | 293.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 28c | 227.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 21c | 129.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 95.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 28c | 73.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…da52backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…a442backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 75c | 53.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…c886backed No | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1836…031ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nice win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
- Will Nice vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.