Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b870b980cc4e17a6ea14c58d15db6931760226d62381cd7d225c694409f2a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Lorientof Paris Saint-Germain FC, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 10,227$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Lorient | 45c | 7,602$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FC Lorient | 42c | 3,854$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.61 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed FC Lorient | 44c | 3,848$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 1,728$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed FC Lorient | 43c | 1,144$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.08 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed FC Lorient | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 48c | 840.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 672$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.74 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2c | 661.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 644.58$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…a290backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 599.5$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 401.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea1…f3a1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 323.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 280$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 204.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed FC Lorient | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 110.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 88.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…f9d8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 86.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked FC Lorient | 42c | 72.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…b95dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 41.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 40.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…046ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 33.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…10e2backed FC Lorient | 44c | 32.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c4…4872backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.