CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b081722852e84a844f4f64678cfe3b293c940e9ae71681ee1aa566135c08c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked BC.Game Esports | 20c | 106,534$21,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,176.12 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Vitality | 80c | 40,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Vitality | 80c | 10,223$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.58 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Vitality | 80c | 4,515$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BC.Game Esports | 9c | 4,341$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.1 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vitality | 80c | 3,539$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.8 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed BC.Game Esports | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…30adbacked BC.Game Esports | 13c | 2,447$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BC.Game Esports | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 1,907$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC.Game Esports | 8c | 1,609$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 1,498$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…9326backed BC.Game Esports | 16c | 1,455$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 1,310$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Vitality | 80c | 1,278$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BC.Game Esports | 4c | 1,083$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…da1ebacked BC.Game Esports | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed BC.Game Esports | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality | 80c | 646.23$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed BC.Game Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed BC.Game Esports | 21c | 396$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Vitality | 80c | 363$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…2054backed Vitality | 80c | 358.06$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…5d83backed BC.Game Esports | 5c | 296.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…45a9backed BC.Game Esports | 4c | 266.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vitality | 80c | 264$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BC.Game Esports | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed BC.Game Esports | 21c | 239.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked BC.Game Esports | 8c | 215.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed BC.Game Esports | 6c | 190.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…4ee0backed BC.Game Esports | 13c | 170$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cd…d697backed BC.Game Esports | 10c | 156.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed BC.Game Esports | 9c | 140.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…02c1backed BC.Game Esports | 14c | 138.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked BC.Game Esports | 14c | 138.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…046abacked BC.Game Esports | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…9d07backed BC.Game Esports | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed BC.Game Esports | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…557ebacked BC.Game Esports | 20c | 77.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed BC.Game Esports | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed BC.Game Esports | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Vitality | 80c | 47.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…483abacked Vitality | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…da31backed Vitality | 80c | 38.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Vitality | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 80c | 23.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.