CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b8fb6bf321d8c3c662a4b0acb330a3ba57677c6e312f2a385e9c0b480b7c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 69c | 6,898$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.62 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 5,680$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.61 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed BC.Game Esports | 29c | 5,282$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.72 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed BC.Game Esports | 36c | 3,223$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.04 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 71c | 2,419$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.51 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Vitality | 51c | 1,986$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BC.Game Esports | 50c | 1,635$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.72 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vitality | 62c | 1,399$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.53 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked BC.Game Esports | 30c | 1,380$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Vitality | 73c | 1,340$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Vitality | 55c | 970.95$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 67c | 941.17$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.17 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Vitality | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Vitality | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Vitality | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BC.Game Esports | 27c | 539.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked BC.Game Esports | 34c | 497.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 73c | 494.52$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Vitality | 65c | 468.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 68c | 462.19$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed BC.Game Esports | 36c | 274.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Vitality | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked BC.Game Esports | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked BC.Game Esports | 36c | 186.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Vitality | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Vitality | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked BC.Game Esports | 34c | 137.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…533cbacked Vitality | 60c | 126.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed BC.Game Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BC.Game Esports | 30c | 78.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BC.Game Esports | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed BC.Game Esports | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…5625backed Vitality | 68c | 58.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed Vitality | 73c | 48.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…60aabacked Vitality | 72c | 34.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Vitality | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Vitality | 68c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Vitality | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.