Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e64816141f75dd5b9fc49bcc6b75b2c7b84b570f40d9208df1d5c9a9286a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 48c | 3,424$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.86 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,481$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,013$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 975.52$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.38 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 56c | 631.05$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 373.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 57c | 351.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 339.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 12c | 267.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 55c | 201$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…d67dbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 10c | 114.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed No | 53c | 73.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 54c | 65.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 56c | 53.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 48.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 57c | 45.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…76d2backed Yes | 44c | 38.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…e776backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Yes | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…dcffbacked Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 50c | 25.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.