Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c22c905f271caba8cae6c8a5860127f344ab15dcf22cca6c64140241b454523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 55c | 18,216$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,215.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 12,476$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 6,526$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 2,847$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.88 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 53c | 2,392$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.37 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 27c | 1,789$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,525$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 56c | 1,492$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Over | 43c | 1,329$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 33c | 1,015$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 52c | 867.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 48c | 660.85$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 47c | 560$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Under | 54c | 474.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 52c | 399.95$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 27c | 340$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 301.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 79c | 286.91$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 267.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0dd7backed Over | 47c | 257.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 252.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 201.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 45c | 201.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 58c | 181$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 16c | 160.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 42c | 139.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 127.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 45c | 127.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 10c | 110.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 70c | 105.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 41c | 101.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Over | 22c | 97.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 96.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 24c | 80.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 45c | 79.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…0d78backed Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 75c | 60.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…f733backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 35.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…e301backed Over | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…091fbacked Under | 63c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.