TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c16,741$8,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,419.42,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c6,388$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.1293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over67c4,494$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.832763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,163$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.961,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over54c3,715$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under27c1,490$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c1,295$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.610361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5722835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c855.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c511.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c472.11$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over28c385.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c365.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Under41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.462330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.844035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over72c276.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c271$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.516842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over39c256$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over46c217.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over56c203.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over50c200.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over41c199.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.933056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f9…d4e6backed Over64c187.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over56c178.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over18c150.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over71c129$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over37c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.252433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over51c117.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over71c116.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.698965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c114.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3715042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…f7f9backed Over73c113.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over42c111.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Under63c104.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under42c104.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.42737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c104.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.297544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over61c99.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9912052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over43c93.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2719436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d99…3508backed Over61c93.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under40c90.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.834131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…f733backed Over43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over46c89.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over50c78.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.166043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over73c69.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over44c68.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd465…b0eebacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over47c63.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under50c62.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.653528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over73c56.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.56875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over71c55.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under28c49.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.149826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over56c49.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.666956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over49c47.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over23c46.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.745740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c46.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c46.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over56c44.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over60c40.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over45c40.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.386439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…4216backed Under29c36.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+121.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over58c35.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.861758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over56c35.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Over73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Under51c33.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under34c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeddb…8afcbacked Over57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over70c30.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.414351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Over73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb723…7ae0backed Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+263.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Under56c29.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over73c23.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.