CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4002fbf8738d9c968ef473a4f8cf3b7e309530b5af9f202b617178ae917e2cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 43c | 3,861$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed B8 | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 3DMAX | 33c | 2,605$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.45 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 45c | 2,190$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked B8 | 78c | 1,877$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX | 26c | 1,797$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 42c | 1,523$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked B8 | 68c | 1,257$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.47 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed 3DMAX | 44c | 1,097$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed B8 | 66c | 1,083$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 23c | 895.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed B8 | 48c | 829.97$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.58 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B8 | 60c | 820.04$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.92 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed B8 | 56c | 819.55$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.95 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed 3DMAX | 50c | 796.31$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked B8 | 53c | 745$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 60c | 731.94$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 39c | 590.23$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed B8 | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked B8 | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 470.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked B8 | 49c | 453.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked B8 | 57c | 342.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked B8 | 56c | 294$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked B8 | 56c | 278.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 23c | 270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked B8 | 59c | 246.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed B8 | 58c | 191.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 3DMAX | 44c | 173.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed B8 | 58c | 150.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 3DMAX | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 3DMAX | 34c | 116.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed 3DMAX | 34c | 115.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked B8 | 62c | 100.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 3DMAX | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 3DMAX | 43c | 82.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 3DMAX | 43c | 79.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked B8 | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 65.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 3DMAX | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 3DMAX | 38c | 55.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 54.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX | 27c | 53.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 51.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…c48abacked B8 | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed B8 | 60c | 49.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked B8 | 58c | 41.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed B8 | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 3DMAX | 38c | 27.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed 3DMAX | 42c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked B8 | 58c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked B8 | 58c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.