CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11147fe965fbd939cfaa434a3c1f14f3d20a671a2ec52d764281880bd5cda4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof B8, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed B8 | 40c | 4,151$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX | 66c | 2,799$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX | 71c | 2,611$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.05 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 2,393$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.19 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed B8 | 35c | 1,804$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.95 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed B8 | 23c | 879.46$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed 3DMAX | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed B8 | 8c | 595.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed 3DMAX | 68c | 381.09$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B8 | 5c | 360.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked B8 | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed B8 | 7c | 239.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 200.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked B8 | 30c | 188.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked B8 | 35c | 186.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed B8 | 23c | 167.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed B8 | 12c | 131.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked B8 | 31c | 111.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 3DMAX | 72c | 107.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 3DMAX | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed B8 | 31c | 95.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed B8 | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 92.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked B8 | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 3DMAX | 75c | 65.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 3DMAX | 67c | 56.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 3DMAX | 73c | 53.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed 3DMAX | 66c | 34.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed 3DMAX | 78c | 29.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.