CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x463dd646b1bb5f9077899f8bd2fb011a188dc94934462c1455b401f1534ddb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACROBATSof 100 Thieves, ACROBATS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ACROBATS | 53c | 2,546$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.12 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ACROBATS | 50c | 2,420$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.26 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ACROBATS | 51c | 2,115$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.5 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,754$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.19 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ACROBATS | 47c | 1,370$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.9 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,067$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 993.8$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.59 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed ACROBATS | 42c | 963.84$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.79 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 904.39$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 814.47$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 672.52$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.21 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 580.14$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 479.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ACROBATS | 56c | 447.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ACROBATS | 49c | 439.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 398.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…8857backed ACROBATS | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ACROBATS | 41c | 268.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 257.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ACROBATS | 53c | 247.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 240.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ACROBATS | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 207.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed ACROBATS | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked ACROBATS | 61c | 154.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 150.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 136$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 121.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ACROBATS | 53c | 117.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 110.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed ACROBATS | 55c | 108.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ACROBATS | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed ACROBATS | 45c | 88.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 82.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 81.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…8c46backed ACROBATS | 56c | 73.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 64.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 64.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 51.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ACROBATS | 55c | 45.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ACROBATS | 41c | 42.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 41.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ACROBATS | 53c | 41.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed ACROBATS | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 605 | 58.5%354 W · 251 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ACROBATS | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked ACROBATS | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.