CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94a140ab011ffde5cf6475a83b7c5589f9dfeb5d9d8d347f18898f01684dd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, ACROBATS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,719$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 960.26$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…6165backed ACROBATS | 50c | 931.16$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 889.47$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 588.76$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ACROBATS | 48c | 553.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked ACROBATS | 38c | 501.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ACROBATS | 7c | 487.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ACROBATS | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed ACROBATS | 48c | 437.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed ACROBATS | 46c | 320.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ACROBATS | 56c | 263.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed ACROBATS | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 202.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ACROBATS | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 138.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ACROBATS | 44c | 109.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 97.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 94.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 93.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 79.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 78.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ACROBATS | 38c | 60.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ACROBATS | 59c | 48.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 47.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed ACROBATS | 57c | 39.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ACROBATS | 55c | 38.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 32.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed ACROBATS | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 26.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked ACROBATS | 49c | 26.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…6f7abacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 24.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…659bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 WinnerACROBATS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.