CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a871a90c7c60b551398390696618e6494ca4c425c71ccb001cb65190799a331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, ACROBATS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked ACROBATS | 46c | 152,555$70,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,846.77 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 134,058$71,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,367.24 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 6,772$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.43 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 6,669$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed ACROBATS | 50c | 3,871$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.46 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed ACROBATS | 49c | 3,376$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.04 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.78 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,148$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed ACROBATS | 47c | 2,110$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.51 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 2,109$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ACROBATS | 44c | 1,672$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,617$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.34 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ACROBATS | 46c | 1,347$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,258$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ACROBATS | 46c | 1,245$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,204$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.04 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed ACROBATS | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked ACROBATS | 32c | 1,198$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,103$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,090$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.77 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,067$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.8 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed ACROBATS | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 900.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 792.39$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 779.8$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.05 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 704.65$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.63 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 684.84$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed ACROBATS | 22c | 652.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ACROBATS | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 534.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ACROBATS | 50c | 534.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…5662backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…18b6backed ACROBATS | 30c | 469.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 436.94$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 419.81$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ACROBATS | 42c | 401.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed ACROBATS | 47c | 387.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ACROBATS | 27c | 359.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 354.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 347.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 342.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 329.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 323.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 320.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 308.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 297.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ACROBATS | 49c | 295.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 294.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed ACROBATS | 41c | 293.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 291.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 291.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ACROBATS | 38c | 285.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 270.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ACROBATS | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 258.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ACROBATS | 32c | 228.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 225.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ACROBATS | 48c | 208.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 205.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked ACROBATS | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…79e9backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 189.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed ACROBATS | 19c | 187$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked ACROBATS | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…7df4backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 175.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 173.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 169.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ACROBATS | 44c | 168.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 165.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 164.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked ACROBATS | 50c | 161.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 154.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ACROBATS | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 149.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 148.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ACROBATS | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 147.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ACROBATS | 17c | 141.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 124.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 123.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 113.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ACROBATS | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ACROBATS | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 105.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed ACROBATS | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked ACROBATS | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed ACROBATS | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed ACROBATS | 30c | 97.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ACROBATS | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 WinnerACROBATS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.