CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d7c7426657e0c3ffc47b1f45878c3cf6541669aed50ac764b68d18de08f137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b8f…1b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 0c | 15,213$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 57c | 1,336$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 58c | 1,207$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed K27 | 22c | 1,025$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.68 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 38c | 661.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 628.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 626.57$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed K27 | 38c | 625.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.58 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 617.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed K27 | 21c | 614.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.96 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 540.51$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed K27 | 18c | 507.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.42 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 504.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 440.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked K27 | 49c | 399$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 372.71$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 346.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 318.21$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked K27 | 28c | 288.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 263.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 249.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed K27 | 42c | 233.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed K27 | 44c | 221.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed K27 | 20c | 217.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed K27 | 38c | 215.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…1c4bbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 198.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 49c | 186.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed K27 | 55c | 180.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked K27 | 57c | 171.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked K27 | 63c | 168.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 165$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked K27 | 36c | 143.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 142.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 132.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 124.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed K27 | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 40c | 120.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a603backed K27 | 51c | 114.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 113.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 112.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 110.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 107.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked K27 | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed K27 | 33c | 99.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 97.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 93.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked K27 | 22c | 89.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 88.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 81.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 26c | 78.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 74.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 74.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked K27 | 68c | 72.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 71.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 62.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 62.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed K27 | 51c | 59.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 52.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed K27 | 40c | 48.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked K27 | 46c | 48.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 45.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed K27 | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 43.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed K27 | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 38.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 36.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 36.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 36.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed K27 | 46c | 35.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 35.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…a4febacked K27 | 41c | 33.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed K27 | 36c | 32.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e87ebacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 32.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 28.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed K27 | 44c | 28.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked K27 | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.