CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca091e7578f1f4d6a9b80639cb99700ff9015ef14444c0515f9bb0bf3da0f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof K27, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b8f…1b4fbacked K27 | 0c | 22,210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 3,639$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.32 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed K27 | 26c | 2,021$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.77 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,180$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked K27 | 41c | 861.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 37c | 852.56$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed K27 | 41c | 670.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.34 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed K27 | 55c | 606$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 586.36$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed K27 | 54c | 309.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked K27 | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 50c | 265.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed K27 | 9c | 215$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 189.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 58c | 175.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed K27 | 58c | 169.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 164.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed K27 | 56c | 160.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 61c | 133.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 118.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked K27 | 67c | 106.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 104.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed K27 | 10c | 103.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked K27 | 57c | 95.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 91.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 91.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 49c | 87.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 86.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 85.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 44c | 85.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked K27 | 41c | 83.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed K27 | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed K27 | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 67.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 65.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed K27 | 59c | 62.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 60.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 35c | 56.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked K27 | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…596bbacked K27 | 40c | 52.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed K27 | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…35dfbacked K27 | 40c | 48.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 47.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 47.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 45.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked K27 | 58c | 39.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 37.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 36.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 36.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed K27 | 52c | 31.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed K27 | 38c | 30.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 30.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked K27 | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…7a98backed K27 | 36c | 29.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 26.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 24.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 24.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.