TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof FURIA, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed FURIA63c28,196$17,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,731.789247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz36c26,926$9,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,120.573,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA53c19,649$10,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,415.33,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz41c12,538$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,424.0227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA58c10,414$6,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.431,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed FURIA48c8,382$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9901233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FURIA72c8,301$5,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.3411643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed TheMongolz31c5,229$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.8619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz52c5,048$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.5460540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed TheMongolz35c4,692$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.978052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA70c3,500$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75021754.8%119 W · 98 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA44c2,428$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.6536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked TheMongolz61c2,275$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.258758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz29c2,089$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.527,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed TheMongolz39c1,996$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.8927348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc9…e7f6backed FURIA60c1,695$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA64c1,565$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3955343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b3…5dabbacked TheMongolz42c1,500$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8742100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed TheMongolz37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94510335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA59c1,496$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.8921042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA63c1,357$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.0322927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked TheMongolz40c1,327$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.261947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8240…edebbacked TheMongolz76c1,320$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA39c1,233$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8732752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz31c1,165$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.091,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed TheMongolz42c1,113$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.9311252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz55c1,048$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4681,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked TheMongolz54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked FURIA75c995.48$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.614551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA44c923.74$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.644,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e8…6001backed TheMongolz25c880.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.151560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz65c717.83$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.292,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed TheMongolz50c624.22$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1111547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed FURIA6c575.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.042528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae9…f444backed TheMongolz41c513.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.771546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed FURIA71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz40c499.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed FURIA50c496.15$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24815162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed FURIA46c456.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010635.8%38 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed FURIA10c423.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.747115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz12c421.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.779850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed TheMongolz53c411.33$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5415743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz18c410.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5964652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed TheMongolz51c401.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5669863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed TheMongolz40c400$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23820462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked TheMongolz49c390.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.822,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz32c376.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.361854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed TheMongolz54c371.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.554621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked TheMongolz46c361$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FURIA59c312$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0822564.9%146 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed TheMongolz56c307.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1417462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked FURIA51c292.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.819353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x070c…dbf5backed FURIA63c283.91$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed FURIA55c283.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9310152.5%53 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked TheMongolz75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed TheMongolz46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked TheMongolz52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5418040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed FURIA49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed TheMongolz59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8222843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16058961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA77c200$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15322554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed TheMongolz60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8047741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked FURIA56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked FURIA72c197.04$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked FURIA48c181.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873943.6%17 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb57f…ab65backed FURIA56c180.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed TheMongolz56c178.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8525352.6%133 W · 120 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked FURIA58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9816…cc22backed FURIA21c167.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.541910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-79.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FURIA51c166$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.311,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed TheMongolz52c161$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.286640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked FURIA63c159.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed TheMongolz32c152.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.669565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed FURIA47c151.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5b…4a6dbacked TheMongolz49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.332544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked TheMongolz19c149.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.491931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed FURIA68c147.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9415533.5%52 W · 103 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed TheMongolz52c144.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3322254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA37c135.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.922,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…85babacked FURIA63c135.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz42c134.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…63b6backed FURIA23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…92cfbacked FURIA72c123.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.556456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed TheMongolz53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA75c118.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8923161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz56c111.51$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.519832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed FURIA57c107.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7515142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed TheMongolz53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked TheMongolz72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4733658.6%197 W · 139 L+23.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed TheMongolz55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.142057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA66c99.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…0399backed FURIA55c94.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.32633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA41c94.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed FURIA64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.