Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa938e5b03eba200f73d1a21022bd6e24e988e18a3f010a583f986cdbe70f28cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Exeter City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 9,894$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.78 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 5,025$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.15 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,902$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.94 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Manchester City FC | 53c | 1,599$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.45 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,359$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.45 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Exeter City FC | 46c | 1,155$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Exeter City FC | 48c | 766.71$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Exeter City FC | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Exeter City FC | 50c | 655.78$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 601.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.67 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Exeter City FC | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Exeter City FC | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Exeter City FC | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Exeter City FC | 57c | 318.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Exeter City FC | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 257.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Exeter City FC | 51c | 233.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Exeter City FC | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Exeter City FC | 54c | 95.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Exeter City FC | 53c | 93.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Manchester City FC | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Manchester City FC | 57c | 87.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Manchester City FC | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Manchester City FC | 51c | 51.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Exeter City FC | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Exeter City FC | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Exeter City FC | 58c | 34.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 34.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Exeter City FC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Manchester City FC | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Exeter City FC | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Manchester City FC | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 25.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Exeter City FC | 50c | 22.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Exeter City FC | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.