Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c36a1a677e046f62210aae14a913919384f02878e8c2aafc988f54611ec97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 8,498$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 32c | 5,290$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 51c | 2,524$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,577$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 1,465$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 52c | 1,208$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,052$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.46 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 46c | 847.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.27 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 42c | 717.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.78 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 555.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.22 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 51c | 488.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 318.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 51c | 298.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 287.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 57c | 219.72$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 50c | 206.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f3f1backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 53c | 189.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 189.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 48c | 158.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 124.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 120.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 116.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 51c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 52c | 96.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 52c | 91.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 49c | 91.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 57c | 87.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 82.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 43c | 82.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 76.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…cf9abacked Yes | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 40c | 48.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked No | 31c | 47.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 51c | 32.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 76c | 32.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 50c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 67c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 49c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.