Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7528fceea70a5069d96b945802cb2dd570bd9f098ef2847788caf2d2188f2a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 17,002$8,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 57c | 6,400$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 33c | 4,980$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 4,647$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.8 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 3,454$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 69c | 3,244$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 54c | 2,250$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 2,052$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.19 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,778$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 48c | 1,205$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.45 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 45c | 999.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 32c | 884.72$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.11 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 822.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 44c | 657.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 654.44$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 71c | 634.04$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 33c | 600$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 30c | 596.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 556.19$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 50c | 538$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 31c | 482.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Over | 71c | 422.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 76c | 406.36$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 399.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 50c | 376.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 373.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 69c | 333.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 8c | 301.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 75c | 294.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…ade5backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 70c | 285.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 275.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 231.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 211.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 59c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 194.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Over | 9c | 175.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 44c | 172.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 66c | 171.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 71c | 165.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 53c | 159.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 158.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 70c | 142.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 72c | 134.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 69c | 134$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 39c | 123.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Over | 71c | 112.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 28c | 94.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Over | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 91.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 42c | 80.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 69c | 80.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 77.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Over | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 70.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over | 71c | 70.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 32c | 59.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 36c | 57.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 31c | 56.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 57c | 52.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…3a6cbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 69c | 43.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 34c | 43.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 41c | 42.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 65c | 39.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.