Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61088d6ea8dcc4be19784453e4e7a0246c4ded4917ea7a89c01d4dd99a0abc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 44c | 8,378$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 8,210$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.87 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 4,966$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 1,522$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.55 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,337$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 43c | 1,280$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 34c | 1,079$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 1,065$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 1c | 986.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 57c | 899.97$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.99 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 42c | 847.45$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.93 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 27c | 819.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 735.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 2c | 555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 57c | 517.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.82 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 43c | 467.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Under | 60c | 416.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…d82ebacked Under | 60c | 400.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 42c | 378.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 374$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 41c | 367.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 354.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 347.73$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 322$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 303$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 27c | 277.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 37c | 260$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 56c | 240.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…c365backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 58c | 219.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 62c | 213.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 42c | 211.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 11c | 189.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Under | 57c | 177.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 166.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 57c | 149.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed Over | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…e644backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 116.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 116$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…3a6cbacked Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 42c | 114.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 33c | 110.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 42c | 109.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 33c | 88.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 57c | 62.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 42c | 55.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 41c | 52.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 43c | 51.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Under | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 60c | 43.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 42c | 40.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.