Fifa International · resolved market
Mali vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3379213734aab6a3cc77b750e6fe2f899060ff8ef8dd5d0ddf2e5712081605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 5,983$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 38c | 3,900$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 15c | 1,249$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 22c | 915.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 677.7$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 62c | 443.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 418.26$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 39c | 271.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 19c | 203.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 80c | 175.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…6d5cbacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 38c | 120.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Yes | 38c | 117.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…7b8fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…2501backed Yes | 24c | 98.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 83.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 78c | 82.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 40c | 75.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…675dbacked Yes | 28c | 72.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 69.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 63c | 64.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 72c | 55.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked No | 62c | 54.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked No | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 63c | 47.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…3083backed Yes | 38c | 40.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…010abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked No | 63c | 31.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 40c | 25.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked No | 63c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mali vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.