TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c23,906$7,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,381.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over75c11,360$8,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,520850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over68c6,576$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c4,552$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under51c4,237$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.163554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c2,551$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.6376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c1,694$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.2329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over63c1,576$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Over65c1,228$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.395242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under27c1,038$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.525440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over62c969.29$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over60c829.8$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over45c712.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under41c656.18$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8217048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c646.88$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4147864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under40c593.05$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over43c581.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over72c539$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0830%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Over35c499.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under39c478.67$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7128754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c467.01$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.81,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under37c444$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Over75c438.83$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.871050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under40c371.59$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…18b4backed Over67c299.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under74c289.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over67c282.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.110868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c281.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over63c271.17$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…6775backed Over63c263.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed Under39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c248.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over47c242.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c239.2$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6625455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over61c230.89$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.843473.5%25 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Under45c222.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over56c214.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3212852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c204.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under32c189.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over49c186$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over70c183.43$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.729845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under29c169.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.484141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Over47c162.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under37c160$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.362445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over40c159.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72cb…542ebacked Under55c155.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c154.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over63c149.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.984753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Over62c144.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-62.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over59c142$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Over73c137.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.944346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over75c123.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.748844.3%39 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Over63c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over57c119.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over59c119.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.821315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-70.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x266e…60cbbacked Over76c118.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over46c117.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.316831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over62c111$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over47c108.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over60c105$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Under45c102.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f0…fdf8backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ef48backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over51c99.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.974148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under77c94.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over49c88.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Over62c86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over62c85.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a53…70a1backed Under28c84.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under49c80.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad5…bec4backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Over74c79.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.731866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x647b…5750backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3164…85efbacked Under44c68.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over64c67.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under49c65.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over75c63.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over29c63.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.153412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over75c63.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.25754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over55c59.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.927230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under36c57.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3311552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Under39c54.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over57c54.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111775.2%88 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb509…c01dbacked Over74c53.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.