Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256daad7b28d4482c0efcdd727282ebf9130c31027922ae2689b815e91639904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 1,154$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.31 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 720.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 56c | 355.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 315.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 291.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…0579backed Yes | 56c | 266.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 56c | 176.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 45c | 133.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 45c | 107$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 58c | 86.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 41c | 67.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 55c | 62.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Yes | 52c | 37.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Yes | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Yes | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.