Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549ac2546572f88d169205d29615868331d1c68561eac9d0405ad7c5a2d3a40e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 3,732$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.49 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 49c | 3,011$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 1,747$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.82 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,405$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.5 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.75 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 50c | 982.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.28 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 969.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 930$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 71c | 508.15$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 46c | 470.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 358.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 49c | 200.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 190.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 169.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 61c | 137.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 48c | 49.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 51c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.