Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a409b6eedbc70e7ca7b47bf9936b4e3e67eb85c30a58987c027ddc22c6d17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Under | 1c | 6,020$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 74c | 4,050$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,491$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,035$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 1,148$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 821.6$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.95 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 566.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 546.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 27c | 145$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 28c | 94.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Under | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 61.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 55c | 57.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 71c | 40.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 79c | 25.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…1683backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 73c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.